I am not sure if anyone legitimately knows the answer to this question, but I (and my partner) am considering a JAL redemption from SYD-NRT return next year. We have enough points, via EK, for a J redemption, and can purchase some more to allow an F.
Based on current schedule and availability, both J and F are available (we are flexible with dates).
However, given current load out of Sydney (May was under 70%), and our travel date (outbound June, inbound July), is there reasonable potential they will downgrade the aircraft? I don’t even know what a downgrade would mean: losing F? A different (non-sky suite) J?
If we buy additional points to facilitate the F, and as it’s via EK, I am not sure what a downgrade would mean: refund in points? No refund?
Perhaps the above requires a crystal ball, but any insights/experiences (e.g. whether JAL do typically downgrade in June/July due to load factors) would be appreciated